BMIE Market 02476
Middlesex County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 17,708 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,217 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,823 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±511 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 16,532 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,657 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $151,131 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,893 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 46.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,917 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±124 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $934,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,116 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 2.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 27 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02476 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 16.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -6.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +92.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +1,250.0% DERIVED: 1997 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 25 (range 22–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.21) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 43 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02476. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.21, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 86.4 | 86 | 40% | +34.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 55.1 | 55 | 35% | +19.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 42.7 | 43 | 25% | +10.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 17,708 | 79 | 40% | +31.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 151,131 | 96 | 40% | +38.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,823 | 81 | 20% | +16.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -6.9 | 20 | 35% | +7.0 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 15.3 | 52 | 25% | +13.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 17,708 | 79 | 20% | +15.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 151,131 | 96 | 20% | +19.2 |
Market Momentum Score: 43 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 0 | 42 | 50% | +20.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -6.9 | 20 | 30% | +6.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 92.9 | 79 | 20% | +15.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (60)
By cuisine
Coffee 11 · Pizza 11 · American 8 · Asian 5 · Italian 4 · Bakery 3 · Chinese 3 · Dessert 3 · Japanese 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Thai 3 · Mediterranean 2 · Mexican 2 · Sushi 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Greek 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Steakhouse 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 42 · Café 9 · Coffee shop 7 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Quick service 3 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A & A Convenience Store | Other | Sandwiches | 1042 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Abbott's Frozen Custard - Arlington Heights | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Dessert | 71 Park Ave | open |
| Alta Coffee Roasters | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 805 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Andrina's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1060 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Arlington House of Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 797 Massachusetts Ave #4732 | open |
| Arlington Sons of Italy | Bar | 19 Prentiss Rd | open | |
| Blue Ribbon BBQ Blue Ribbon BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 908 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Bok Bok Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 1181 Massachusetts Ave Unit 2 | open |
| Brigham's Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1328 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Butternut Bakehouse | Bakery · Coffee shop · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 787 Mass Ave | open |
| Classic Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · American | 1313 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Cookie Time Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1375 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| D'Agostino's Delicatessen | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 1297 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Del's Lemonade | Juice, smoothie, tea · Food truck · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 1050 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 671 Massachusetts Avenue | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 1234 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Dunkin' | Coffee shop | Coffee | 1234 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Great Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1181 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Hang Zhou Restaurant Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1360 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| Home Taste | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1312 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Hope Color, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 693 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs | Other | Sandwiches | 1398 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Jimmy's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1510 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Jimmy's Steer House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 1111 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Jj Su And Family Inc Thai E-sarn Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1377 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| Jose's Torta Mexicana | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 793 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Kickstand Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 594 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| la famiglia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1215 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Lady Siam | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 882A Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Magdalena Pizarro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1312 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| Magic Bites | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Mediterranean · Coffee | 916 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Mr. Sushi Mr. Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 693 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Mustard Seed Franchise Group Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1398 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| Nicola Pizza House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1215 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Northender Italian Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 1345 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Not Your Average Joe's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 645 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| Pasha Turkish & Mediterranean Cuisine Pasha Restaurant Dublin | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 669A Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Phantastic Thai Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 663 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| Pico | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 808 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Pizza Mia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1345 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Prep Neighborhood Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Pizza | 1367 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Retro Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 795 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Samuel D'agostino, Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1297 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| Something Savory Catering and Events | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1337 Massachusetts Ave Ste 235 | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 1465 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Szechuan's Dumpling | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1360 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Tatte Bakery & Cafe | Arlington | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 645 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| Thai Sticky Rice | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Japanese · Asian | 1377 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Thana Thai Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 882 Mass Ave | open |
| The Bar Room | Bar | 637 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| The Heights Pub | Bar · Casual dining | 1314 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| The Mill Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 14 Mill St | open |
| The Roasted Granola | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 1346 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Toraya Japanese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 890 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Trattoria Nina | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 1510 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Tryst | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 689 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Villa House of Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1367 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Vintage Tea And Cake Co. | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 677 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Yassou | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Greek | 1323 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Bagels By Us | Casual dining | American | 789 Massachusetts Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1997 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 17 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 16 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 20 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 21 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 15 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 21 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 22 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 24 | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 25 | 25 | 10 | 12 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 27 | 26 | 11 | 11 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 25 | 23 | 9 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 28 | 27 | 10 | 13 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 27 | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 26 | 26 | 11 | 12 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 29 | 29 | 13 | 14 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 29 | 28 | 13 | 13 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 27 | 25 | 14 | 10 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 27 | 26 | 16 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 30 | 29 | 17 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 29 | 27 | 16 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 29 | 27 | 14 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 27 | 25 | 13 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 25 | 24 | 11 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 27 | 26 | 11 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 28 | 27 | 11 | 13 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |