BMIE Market 34120

Collier County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	42,345 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,815 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	15,649 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±831 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	26,147 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,989 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$93,861 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,033 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,213 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±277 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$495,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,435 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	140.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	27 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34120
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+170.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+237.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+575.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+440.0% DERIVED: 1997 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	27 (range 21–34) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.5 per year, r² 0.71) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	91 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	91 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	99 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34120. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.71, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	87.4	87	40%	+35.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	90.6	91	35%	+31.7
Market Momentum Score	98.5	99	25%	+24.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	42,345	95	40%	+37.9
Median household income (ACS)	93,861	77	40%	+30.7
Households (ACS)	15,649	94	20%	+18.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	237.5	99	35%	+34.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.4	87	25%	+21.7
Population (ACS)	42,345	95	20%	+19.0
Median household income (ACS)	93,861	77	20%	+15.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 99 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	170	98	50%	+49.1
10-year restaurant growth	237.5	99	30%	+29.6
20-year restaurant growth	575	99	20%	+19.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (45)

By cuisine

Coffee 6 · American 4 · Dessert 4 · Pizza 4 · Asian 3 · Bakery 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Cuban 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 25 · Quick service 10 · Bar 7 · Café 4 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Buffet 1 · Casual dining 1 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A Blessed Little Bake Shoppe	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	3790 41st Ave NE	open
AIR CARGO Logistics	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3284 24th Ave NE	open
Chadwell's Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar			open
China Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	13540 Immokalee Rd	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert · Bar	Dessert	13851 Winchester Trl, #140	open
Colinas del Urubó S.A.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	9101 Gervais Cir	open
Crisp and Green CRISP & GREEN	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	8845 Founders Square Dr Ste 155	open
Culver's Culver's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	8940 Sage Ave	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	13600 Immokalee Rd	open
El Guajiro Sport Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Latin American (other)	13260 Immokalee Rd Unit 4	open
Fuji at Founders Square	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	8845 Founders Square Dr	open
Gather at Valencia Trails	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		11880 Majestic Trails Blvd	open
Golf Gear Advisor	Bar		7754 Bucks Run Dr	open
Grayhawk Amenity Center	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Havana Libre Cuban Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Latin American (other) · Caribbean	8850 Founders Square Dr Unit 215	open
Herb's Catering & Best Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	9850 Immokalee Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	55 Everglades Blvd N	open
L'appetito Ii Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	13260 Immokalee Rd	open
LaCafetera.239	Food truck		55 Everglades Blvd N	open
Lehner Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom · Quick service		1694 Birdie Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service		13811 Immokalee Rd	open
McLean Family Pub & Retreat	Bar			open
Moravela's Pizza Everglades	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	55 Everglades Blvd N	open
New York Pizza & Pasta - Collier Blvd	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	8855 Immokalee Rd	open
Panda Express Panda Express	Quick service		8955 Founders Square Drive	open
Pelican Larry's Raw Bar and Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	8855 Immokalee Rd Unit 17	open
Roadies Bevs	Coffee shop	Coffee	8927 Founders Square Dr	open
Sakura Buffet	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	8855 Immokalee Road #6&7	open
Skillets - Naples - Founders Square Skillets Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	8845 Founders Square Dr	open
Skyline Chili	Quick service		710 9th St NW	open
South Street - Founders Square	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8845 Founders Square Dr	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Quick service · Café	Coffee	8867 Immokalee Rd	open
Subway	Quick service		14344 Immokalee Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	384 Randall Blvd	open
Sweet Town	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2603 41st Ave NE	open
T-Yummi (Boba Tea, Bánh Mì, & More)	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	8845 Founders Square Dr	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	9000 Sage Ave	open
Terrace Cafe	Café	Coffee	8250 Danbury Blvd	open
The Country Coop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	6th St NE	open
The Warehouse Cuisine and Cocktails	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	9010 Bellaire Bay Dr	open
Tipsy Corner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8855 Immokalee Rd	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Quick service		1721 Oil Well Road	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Sandwiches · Coffee	8855 Immokalee Road	open
Two Meatballs In The Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	9010 Bellaire Bay Dr	open
I Heart Mac & Cheese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	8845 Founders Square Dr Unit 145	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1997	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	4	1	—	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	4	4	—	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	6	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	7	6	1	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	11	11	4	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	10	10	2	8	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	8	8	1	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	9	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	9	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	7	7	1	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	8	8	2	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	9	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	11	10	3	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	8	3	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	13	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	12	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	24	14	5	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	31	21	8	10	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	34	27	12	10	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34120. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.