BMIE Market 34715

Lake County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	26,810 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,502 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,742 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±654 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,455 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,799 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$105,262 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,010 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,050 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±240 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$437,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,715 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	31.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34715
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	1.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+116.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+225.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+333.3% DERIVED: 2004 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 10–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.68) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	91 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	92 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	98 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34715. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.68, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	84.9	85	40%	+34.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	91.8	92	35%	+32.1
Market Momentum Score	98.2	98	25%	+24.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	26,810	87	40%	+34.6
Median household income (ACS)	105,262	84	40%	+33.7
Households (ACS)	8,742	83	20%	+16.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 92 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	225	99	35%	+34.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.9	92	25%	+23.1
Population (ACS)	26,810	87	20%	+17.3
Median household income (ACS)	105,262	84	20%	+16.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 98 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	116.7	98	50%	+61.2
10-year restaurant growth	225	99	30%	+37.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (31)

By cuisine

American 4 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 4 · Pizza 4 · Bakery 3 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Caribbean 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Quick service 6 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Bar 3 · Café 3 · Casual dining 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bennetts Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American		open
Cali Coffee Minneola Cali Coffee	Restaurant (service type not stated)		825 US Highway 27	open
Chapa Ma's foodtruck	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		302 US Highway 27	open
Charry Kitchens, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		100 N Highway 27	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1677 N Hancock Rd	open
Diggity Dawgs	Casual dining	Pizza · American	20260 US Highway 27	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	915 N Highway 27	open
Fat Chef Authentic Jamaican Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	204 W Washington St	open
Hardee’s	Quick service		810 N Highway 27	open
Idrink Boba & Sandwiches	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Sandwiches · Coffee	556 S Hwy 27	open
Jack Benny's Barbeque - Minneola	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	100 S Highway 27	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1683 North Hancock Road Suite #104	open
Lakeridge Winery & Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		19239 US-27	open
Lil Anthony's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	205 US-27	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1693 N Hancock Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	901 N Highway 27	open
Minneola Grill	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	117 W Washington St	open
Napoli's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	556 S Hwy 27	open
Papa Johns Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1683 N Hancock Rd Ste 105	open
Power Smoothie Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	544 S Highway 27	open
Smokin' Jack's Bar-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	100 S Highway 27	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1681 N Hancock Rd	open
Sweet Cups Chef	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	556 S Hwy 27 Unit E	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	320 US Highway 27	open
Tequila Launge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		20329 US Highway 27	open
The Lucky CakeSmith	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	1097 Sadie Ridge Rd	open
Three Birds Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	1600 Crooked Can Loop	open
Tiki Hut Central	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood		open
Travelin Tom's Coffee of Clermont	Café	Coffee	1118 Arbor Hill Cir	open
🍩 Donut King	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	208 S Hwy 27	open
Flag Coffee Corner	Coffee shop	Coffee	544 S Highway 27	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2004	4	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	4	3	2	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	3	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	5	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	4	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	6	4	2	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	5	4	2	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	7	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	4	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	5	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	9	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	13	—	8	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	13	—	8	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34715. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
34729	1.8 mi	—
34756	4.2 mi	1	2016
34705	4.4 mi	3	2019

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.