BMIE Market 41503

Pike County, Kentucky · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	472 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±269 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	239 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±139 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	570 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	290 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$56,484 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±39,202 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	48.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±34 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$723 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$169,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±102,497 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 41503
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	245.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-18.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-13.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+85.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+62.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 12–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.06) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	21 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	23 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	15 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	27 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 41503. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.06, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Kentucky and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 407, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 21 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	22.6	23	40%	+9.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	15	15	35%	+5.3
Market Momentum Score	27.5	27	25%	+6.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 23 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	472	21	40%	+8.2
Median household income (ACS)	56,484	24	40%	+9.5
Households (ACS)	239	24	20%	+4.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 15 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-13.3	17	35%	+5.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	275.4	1	25%	+0.3
Population (ACS)	472	21	20%	+4.1
Median household income (ACS)	56,484	24	20%	+4.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 27 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-18.8	14	50%	+6.9
10-year restaurant growth	-13.3	17	30%	+5.0
20-year restaurant growth	85.7	78	20%	+15.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

American 7 · Burgers 4 · Coffee 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Breakfast 2 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Quick service 12 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Bakery 1 · Buffet 1 · Café 1 · Dessert 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	318 Southside Mall Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	28205 US-119 N	open
Corner Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	275 Southside Mall Rd C10	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	28866 US-119	open
El Torito Mexican Restaurant El Torito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1069 Central Ave	open
Giovanni’s	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	355 Southside Mall Rd	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	151 Appalachian Plz	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	330 Southside Mall Rd	open
Long John Silver's	Quick service		25661 Appalachian Plaza	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	385 Southside Mall Rd	open
Nk Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		275 Southside Mall Rd Ste A2	open
Peking Restaurant	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	275 Southside Mall Rd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	158 Appalachian Plaza	open
Reed Coffee Corner	Coffee shop	Coffee	275 Mall Rd	open
South Williamson Hardee's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	378 Southside Mall Rd	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	28093 Thompson Plaza Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	28402 US Highway 119 N	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	117 Goody Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	29080 US Highway 119 N	open
The Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	336 Southside Mall Rd	open
Tudor's Biscuit World Tudors Biscuit World: Glenville WV	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	116 2nd St	open
Tudor's Biscuit World Tudor's Biscuit World	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast · American	11 Goody Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	29024 US Highway 119 N	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	7	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	8	2	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	7	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	10	10	3	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	13	13	2	11	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	12	12	2	10	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	12	12	3	9	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	14	14	3	11	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	14	14	2	11	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	16	14	3	10	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	17	15	3	10	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	16	15	5	10	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	18	17	4	13	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	15	14	4	10	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	16	15	4	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	17	16	4	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	17	4	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	16	—	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	15	4	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	15	5	10	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	13	3	10	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 41503. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
41514	2.0 mi	3	2023
41527	2.1 mi	1	2002
25667	3.2 mi	1	2000
25661	3.8 mi	5	2023
41535	4.6 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.