BMIE Market 55129

Washington County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	34,120 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,401 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,855 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±542 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,697 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,700 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$143,795 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,552 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,999 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±198 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$534,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,034 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	19.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 55129
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+72.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+72.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+375.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,800.0% DERIVED: 1995 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	21 (range 17–25) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.60) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	92 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	92 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	91 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	93 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 55129. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.60, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 92 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	92.4	92	40%	+37.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	90.6	91	35%	+31.7
Market Momentum Score	92.8	93	25%	+23.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 92 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	34,120	91	40%	+36.5
Median household income (ACS)	143,795	95	40%	+38.2
Households (ACS)	11,855	89	20%	+17.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	72.7	88	35%	+30.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.6	90	25%	+22.4
Population (ACS)	34,120	91	20%	+18.2
Median household income (ACS)	143,795	95	20%	+19.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 93 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	72.7	94	50%	+46.8
10-year restaurant growth	72.7	88	30%	+26.5
20-year restaurant growth	375	98	20%	+19.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (31)

By cuisine

American 5 · Coffee 5 · Italian 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Bar 5 · Café 5 · Quick service 5 · Coffee shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3rd Act Craft Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		4120 Radio Dr	open
Angelina's Kitchen Italian Restaurant & Wine Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	2170 Eagle Creek Ln	open
Applebee's	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		10150 Hudson Rd Ste 164	open
Bevvie	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	2190 Eagle Creek Ln	open
Bridgeman's Ice Cream Parlor	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2110 Eagle Creek Ln	open
Carbone's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	2070 Eagle Creek Ln	open
City Walk Quiznos	Quick service	Sandwiches	10075 City Walk Dr Ste F	open
Dunn Brothers Coffee Dunn Brothers Coffee	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	10060 City Walk Dr	open
Fiesta Brava	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	10150 Hudson Rd	open
Good Bites Mexican Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	10150 Hudson Rd	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	7774 Hargis Pkwy Ste. 118	open
La Mia Gioia, Llc.dba Angelina's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2170 Eagle Creek Ln	open
Liliana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	10060 City Walk Dr #102	open
Nutrition Cave	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	10075 City Walk Dr Ste B	open
Outback Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	10150 Hudson Rd	open
Pino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2110 Eagle Creek Ln #500	open
Quiznos Quiznos	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	10075 City Walk Dr Ste F	open
Rl Nielsen, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		10060 City Walk Dr Unit 101	open
Sapporo Sushi and Asian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	10060 City Walk Dr Unit 102	open
Sovereign Kitchen and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	10060 City Walk Dr #102	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	7760 Hargis Pkwy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	10240 Hudson Rd	open
Super Suppers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	10150 City Walk Dr Apt A	open
Thanh Do - Woodbury	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	10060 City Walk Dr	open
Thanh Truc - Green bamboo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Thai · Chinese	2230 Eagle Creek Ln	open
The Happy Rohm	Bar		3887 Arlington Dr	open
The Nuthouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6758 Bailey Rd	open
Tyga Bites	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	10075 City Walk Dr Ste F	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	10240 Hudson Rd	open
Willows Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	3265 Arden Dr	open
Ze's Diner Woodbury Ze's Diner Eagan	Casual dining	American	2190 Eagle Creek Ln	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	3	—	2	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	4	3	—	1	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	2	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	2	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	4	4	2	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	6	6	3	1	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	6	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	12	10	5	2	3	—	NAICS2002
2008	15	12	5	3	4	—	NAICS2007
2009	16	13	7	3	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	17	14	8	3	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	16	13	8	3	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	16	12	8	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	15	11	8	2	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	14	10	8	1	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	17	13	9	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	15	11	6	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	13	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	17	11	6	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	18	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	23	14	7	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	24	16	8	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	27	17	6	9	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	28	19	9	9	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 55129. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
55125	3.3 mi	93	2023
55001	3.8 mi	4	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.