BMIE Market 76103

Tarrant County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,975 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,848 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,099 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±405 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,572 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,754 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$60,172 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,914 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	31.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,212 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±72 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$205,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,892 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	6.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 76103
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+7.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-12.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 12–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.43) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	56 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 76103. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.43, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	57.9	58	40%	+23.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.9	59	35%	+20.6
Market Momentum Score	56.1	56	25%	+14.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,975	78	40%	+31.1
Median household income (ACS)	60,172	30	40%	+11.9
Households (ACS)	5,099	75	20%	+14.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	7.7	52	35%	+18.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.8	77	25%	+19.3
Population (ACS)	15,975	78	20%	+15.5
Median household income (ACS)	60,172	30	20%	+6.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	16.7	75	50%	+37.3
10-year restaurant growth	7.7	52	30%	+15.6
20-year restaurant growth	-12.5	16	20%	+3.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (50)

By cuisine

Mexican 12 · American 9 · Latin American (other) 5 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Burgers 3 · Coffee 3 · Seafood 3 · Breakfast 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Dessert 2 · Pizza 2 · BBQ 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 23 · Bar 14 · Quick service 11 · Casual dining 5 · Food truck 5 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aib Food Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4125 E Lancaster Ave Ste E	open
Auntie Anne's Pretzels	Other · Dessert · Quick service	Dessert	2225 E Lancaster Ave	open
Best Friends Club	Bar		2620 E Lancaster Ave	open
Birrieria y Taqueria Las Ornelas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3700 E Lancaster Ave	open
Black Room Studio & Lounge	Bar		4720 E Lancaster Ave	open
Boston fish &chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	3633 E Lancaster Ave site 101	open
Charlie brown's	Bar		2732 E Lancaster Ave	open
Club Changes	Bar		2637 E Lancaster Ave	open
Cocina Mis Raices	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3619 E Lancaster Ave	open
Coffee Folk	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	4147 Meadowbrook Dr	open
El Corral Bar El Corral	Bar		317 Collard St	open
El Tamaulipeco	Food truck		4425 E Lancaster Ave	open
Ez-way Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4700 E Lancaster Ave	open
Griff's Hamburgers Griff's Hamburgers	Quick service	Burgers · American	4224 E Lancaster Ave	open
Ha Ha Buffalo Wing	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	4601 E Lancaster Ave #161	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		5031 E Lancaster Ave	open
Kim's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Dessert · Coffee	3633 E Lancaster Ave Ste 105	open
La Rueda	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	2317 Oakland Blvd	open
Lancaster & Chicago Whataburger	Quick service		4051 E LANCASTER AVE	open
Las Tequileras Cantina	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican	2936 E Lancaster Ave	open
Lisa's Chicken Lisa's Fried Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	4217 Bridge St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4125 E Lancaster Ave Ste E	open
Loaded Tastebuds	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		4710 E Lancaster Ave	open
Mariscos el cachanilla	Food truck	Mexican · Seafood	4402 E Lancaster Ave	open
Mariscos El Rebozo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Mexican	3516 Lynnfield Dr	open
Martinez Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	4620 E Lancaster Ave	open
Matinee Lounge	Bar		3321 E Lancaster Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4101 E Lancaster Ave	open
Mexican Inn Cafe Mexican Inn Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other)	2700 E Lancaster Ave	open
Pancho Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4063 E Lancaster Ave	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4233 E Lancaster Ave	open
Pupusas salvadoreñas	Quick service		4311 Vinson St	open
Rio sport's bar and grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		3516 E Lancaster Ave	open
Ritzy	Bar		1201 Oakland Blvd	open
Sandi's Red Barn	Bar		2632 E Lancaster Ave	open
Silver Horse Lounge	Bar		3300 E Lancaster Ave	open
Star Cafe	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2001 Beach St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1221 Oakland Blvd.	open
Tacos El Centenario	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3300 E Lancaster Ave	open
Tacos Lupita	Food truck	Mexican	4332 E Lancaster Ave	open
Tamale King	Quick service		4604 E Lancaster Ave	open
Tapatias Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	4707 E Lancaster Ave	open
Texas Style Chicken and Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Chicken / wings · American	3854 E Lancaster Ave	open
The Urban Cowboy Saloon	Bar		2620 E Lancaster Ave	open
Tortas Ahogadas Guadalajara	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4910 E Lancaster Ave	open
Turkey Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1201 Oakland Blvd	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	1216 Oakland Blvd	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	4051 E LANCASTER AVE	open
Zero's New Wave Lounge	Bar		2637 E Lancaster Ave	open
Taqueria Coronado	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1224 Oakland Blvd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	19	14	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	19	13	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1996	20	15	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	18	15	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	20	16	4	12	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	21	18	6	12	—	3	NAICS1997
2000	18	15	4	11	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	17	14	4	10	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	17	13	4	9	—	4	NAICS1997
2003	20	16	4	12	—	4	NAICS2002
2004	18	13	3	10	—	5	NAICS2002
2005	14	9	1	8	—	5	NAICS2002
2006	14	10	2	8	—	4	NAICS2002
2007	12	9	1	8	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	12	9	2	7	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	12	9	3	6	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	16	13	5	8	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	15	12	3	9	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	14	12	3	9	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	16	13	3	10	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	14	11	3	8	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	13	10	3	7	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	14	10	3	7	—	3	NAICS2012
2017	13	10	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	12	3	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	12	3	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	16	12	3	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	19	14	4	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	19	14	5	8	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	20	14	5	8	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 76103. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
76105	1.8 mi	22	2023
76111	2.7 mi	37	2023
76104	3.0 mi	73	2023
76112	3.2 mi	38	2023
76102	3.3 mi	66	2023
76117	3.8 mi	35	2023
76119	4.0 mi	15	2023
76110	4.8 mi	46	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.