BMIE Market 77586

Harris County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	23,807 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±812 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,948 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±480 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	20,970 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,487 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$114,057 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,010 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,445 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±75 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$345,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,889 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	11.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	44 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 77586
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	20.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+7.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+12.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+22.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+57.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	41 (range 35–47) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	59 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 77586. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	86.2	86	40%	+34.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64.7	65	35%	+22.6
Market Momentum Score	58.6	59	25%	+14.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	23,807	84	40%	+33.8
Median household income (ACS)	114,057	88	40%	+35.3
Households (ACS)	9,948	86	20%	+17.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	12.8	57	35%	+19.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.5	41	25%	+10.3
Population (ACS)	23,807	84	20%	+16.9
Median household income (ACS)	114,057	88	20%	+17.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	7.3	64	50%	+32.2
10-year restaurant growth	12.8	57	30%	+17.0
20-year restaurant growth	22.2	47	20%	+9.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (106)

By cuisine

American 18 · Seafood 15 · Coffee 13 · Bakery 10 · Dessert 10 · Mexican 10 · Pizza 7 · Breakfast 6 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 5 · Burgers 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 3 · Italian 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · BBQ 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Thai 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Mediterranean 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 68 · Dessert 14 · Quick service 12 · Bakery 11 · Bar 11 · Casual dining 10 · Café 9 · Coffee shop 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Delivery-focused 2 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Abc Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)		302 Waterfront Dr	open
Americano Cafe	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Burgers	2900 Nasa Pkwy Ste 310	open
Athena's Corner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · American	2900 E NASA Pkwy #310	open
Bailey's American Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2320 Nasa Pkwy	open
Barge 295	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2613 E NASA Pkwy	open
Billy's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	4014 NASA Road 1	open
Boondoggle's	Bar · Casual dining		4106 E NASA Pkwy	open
Bovine Swine & Caviar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Nasa rd	open
CABO	Bar		2513 Nasa Pkwy #1	open
Cabo Clear Lake	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2513 Nasa Pkwy	open
Cake Ball Mommas	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Bakery · Juice / smoothies	2225 Scenic Shore Dr	open
Captain Wick's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Italian	318 Waterfront Dr	open
Casa Mia	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
CaseBakes Cookies	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	Red Blf Rd	open
Chelsea Wine Bar	Bar · Casual dining		4106 E NASA Pkwy	open
Coastal Sno	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	3101 Nasa 1 Rd	open
Coffee Oasis	Coffee shop	Coffee	4650 Nasa Pkwy	open
Cranky Concepts Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1301 4th St	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	902 E Meyer Rd 902 E Meyer Rd	open
Damn Fine Coffee and Fried Pies	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Burgers · Bakery · American	910 Hall Ave	open
Dave's Smoke House Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	537 Kirby Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	3140 Nasa Parkway	open
Donald's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Breakfast · Bakery	3300 Bayport Blvd	open
Donald's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	1428 Bayport Blvd	open
Donut Factory	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Breakfast · Bakery	5735 Bayport Blvd Ste D	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		902 E Meyer Rd	open
Dutchman	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	3300 Bayport Blvd	open
El Lago Coffee and Antiques	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	Moskowitz Ave	open
Emery's Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	510 Waterfront Dr	open
Evolve Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2234 Nasa Pkwy	open
Gabachos Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	4449 NASA Road 1	open
Goosebumps Arctic Blast	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)		913 N Meyer Ave	open
Habaneros Taco Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1908 Hialeah Dr #2	open
Hooters	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1818 Nasa Pkwy # 1	open
Houston Boat Club Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1900 Shipyard Dr	open
Hunsa Thai Kitchen Thai•Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	4622 E NASA Pkwy	open
Iguanas Ranas Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2900 E NASA Pkwy	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		4457 Nasa Pkwy # 1	open
Kemah Seafood Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood		open
L and A Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	313 Todville Rd	open
La Cabana del Mar	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
LA POZ French Cafe & Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4622 Nasa Pkwy	open
La Taco Station	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	910 Bayport Blvd	open
Las Anitas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	4624 E NASA Pkwy	open
Local Community Rewards	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	1600 Main St, #1126	open
Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5735 Bayport Blvd Ste G	open
Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3233 Meridiana Pkwy Ste 100	open
Mardel &amp Adams Ltd	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2702 Red Bluff Rd	open
Margarita Jones	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	1818 NASA Road 1	open
Maribelles	Bar		3136 E NASA Pkwy	open
Mario's Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	2100 Nasa Pkwy	open
McDonald's	Quick service		2164 Bayport Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2800 Bayport Blvd	open
Merlion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	1205 Main St	open
Midnite Slice	Delivery-focused · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1605 Main St	open
My's Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	514 Waterfront Dr	open
Neptune Subs	Other	Sandwiches	1917 Bayport Blvd	open
Ohana Roots (food Truck)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific	2900 Nasa Pkwy # 1	open
Outriggers Seafood Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	101 Bath Ave	open
Pappadeaux Seafood Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	309 Waterfront Dr	open
Pelican Grill Pelican Breakfast & Lunch- Seabrook	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	3142 Nasa Pkwy	open
Pier 8	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	409 Todville Rd	open
Pier 8 Seafood Restaurant, Galveston Bay	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Breakfast		open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · BBQ	2000 Highway 146 #2001 Harris	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	Highway 146	open
Red Door cafe	Café	Coffee	1918 Nasa Pkwy	open
Sammy G’sDistrict 70	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	4141 E NASA Pkwy	open
Sams Boat - Seabrook	Casual dining · Bar	American	3101 Nasa Pkwy	open
Seabrook 3101 Interests, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3101 Nasa Pkwy Ste B	open
Seabrook Beach Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3345 Nasa Pkwy	open
Seabrook Classic Cafe	Café	American · Coffee · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2511 Nasa Pkwy	open
Seabrook Snow Sweets and Treats	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1209 N Meyer Ave	open
Seabrook Waffle Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1402 5th St	open
Seabrook Waterfront	Quick service			open
Seafresh Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	107 Waterfront Dr	open
Shhh Coffee & Boba Lounge	Coffee shop	Coffee	4004 Nasa Pkwy	open
Shipley Do-Nuts Shipley Do-Nuts	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	2106 Seabrook Cir	open
Signatures	Casual dining		3659 Nasa Pkwy	open
Simply Smitten Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2533 Wild Oak Forest Ln	open
SONIC Drive In	Quick service		2400 Bayport Blvd	open
Soulfreak Seabrook Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	1305 2nd St	open
Space City Cow	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	4628 E NASA Pkwy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4620 East Nasa Road One	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5735 Bayport Blvd Ste E	open
Sunshine Kitchen	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee · Breakfast	3138B NASA Road 1	open
Sunshine Sno Cones and Shaved Ice	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	El Jardin Beach	open
Taco Bell	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2164 Bayport Blvd	open
Taqueria Nasa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2622 Nasa Pkwy	open
Terra Americas	Coffee shop	Coffee		open
The Backyard	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1301 4th St	open
The Boldthouse	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2234 Nasa Pkwy	open
The Cock And Bull	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3659 Nasa Pkwy	open
The Flame Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3138 E NASA Pkwy Ste A	open
The Healthy Crave	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	3136 E NASA Pkwy Ste B1	open
The Tea Mistress, LLC	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	1009 3rd St	open
Tookie's Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	1106 Bayport Blvd	open
Valdo's Seafood House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Mexican	4106 E NASA Pkwy Ste C	open
Villa Capri	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	3713 Nasa 1 Rd	open
Village Pizza & Seafood Village Pizza and Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Seafood	3568 Nasa Pkwy	open
Viola & Agnes	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	3659 NASA Road 1 Ste A	open
Volcano Room	Bar		4650 Nasa Pkwy	open
Waffle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	2102 Seabrook Cir	open
Waterfront Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	510 Waterfront Dr	open
Whataburger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1408 Bayport Blvd	open
Wongs Chef	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2900 NASA Road 1	open
Crazy Cajun Food Factory	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2825 Nasa Pkwy # 1	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	32	28	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	31	28	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	32	29	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	39	35	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	38	31	17	12	1	5	NAICS1997
1999	37	30	15	13	1	5	NAICS1997
2000	42	33	19	13	—	5	NAICS1997
2001	41	36	21	13	1	4	NAICS1997
2002	45	38	23	13	—	6	NAICS1997
2003	41	36	23	11	—	4	NAICS2002
2004	40	36	21	12	1	3	NAICS2002
2005	38	33	19	13	—	4	NAICS2002
2006	37	32	17	14	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	42	37	21	12	3	3	NAICS2002
2008	46	42	24	13	4	1	NAICS2007
2009	43	37	19	14	3	2	NAICS2007
2010	48	43	26	13	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	46	42	24	14	3	2	NAICS2007
2012	46	42	23	14	4	3	NAICS2012
2013	43	39	20	14	4	3	NAICS2012
2014	43	38	20	14	3	3	NAICS2012
2015	43	38	21	14	2	3	NAICS2012
2016	48	43	25	16	2	3	NAICS2012
2017	50	44	24	19	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	48	41	25	14	—	4	NAICS2017
2019	45	37	24	11	—	4	NAICS2017
2020	43	36	21	13	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	46	40	23	13	3	3	NAICS2017
2022	44	38	21	12	4	3	NAICS2022
2023	50	44	23	15	6	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 77586. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
77565	3.0 mi	43	2023
77507	3.3 mi	2	1997
77058	3.9 mi	77	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.