BMIE Market 80924

El Paso County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	19,619 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,381 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,955 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±384 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,534 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,605 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$139,447 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,971 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,187 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±135 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$656,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,383 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	5.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80924
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	Not yet derived
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+140.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+500.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,100.0% DERIVED: 2009 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 11–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.83) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	91 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	92 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	99 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80924. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.83, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	86.2	86	40%	+34.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	92	92	35%	+32.2
Market Momentum Score	98.7	99	25%	+24.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	19,619	81	40%	+32.4
Median household income (ACS)	139,447	95	40%	+37.9
Households (ACS)	6,955	79	20%	+15.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 92 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	500	100	35%	+34.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.1	88	25%	+21.9
Population (ACS)	19,619	81	20%	+16.2
Median household income (ACS)	139,447	95	20%	+19.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 99 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	140	98	50%	+61.3
10-year restaurant growth	500	100	30%	+37.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (15)

By cuisine

Coffee 3 · Asian 2 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · American 1 · Bakery 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Pizza 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Quick service 5 · Coffee shop 3 · Bar 2 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Abby's Irish Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	9697 Prominent Point	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	9657 Prominent Pt	open
Bella's Bagels	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	3582 Blue Horizon Vw Ste 148	open
Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr.	Quick service	Burgers · American	4626 Freshwater Point Briargate Pkwy	open
China Menu Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	9673 Prominent Pt Ste 110	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	9673 Prominent Point Ste 100	open
Green District Salads - Briargate	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	9625 Prominent Pt	open
Javalato Gelato & Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	9697 Prominent Pt Ste 156 Ste 156	open
NINJA BOWL	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Hawaiian / Pacific	9697 PROMINENT PT Ste 116	open
P. Sherman, 42 Wallaby Way, Sydney	Bar		James Creek Dr	open
Starbucks Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Asian	9670 Prominent Pt	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	9670 Prominent Pt (Super Target Colo S, Prings St-2)	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	3521 Blue Horizon View	open
Till Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9633 Prominent Pt	open
Vaqueros Mexican Restaurant Vaqueros Mexican Restaurant Colorado Springs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	9605 Prominent Point	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2009	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	2	2	1	—	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	3	2	1	—	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	3	2	1	—	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	4	4	1	1	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	5	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	5	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	5	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	7	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	12	6	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 80924. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
80920	2.8 mi	128	2023
80923	2.8 mi	48	2023
80927	4.4 mi	—
80918	5.0 mi	104	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.