BMIE Market 92585

Riverside County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	29,534 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,333 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,326 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±552 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,797 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,944 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$106,667 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,368 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,218 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±184 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$556,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28,712 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	17.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 92585
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	1.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+300.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+300.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+300.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 10–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.90) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	91 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	94 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	97 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 92585. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.90, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	85.8	86	40%	+34.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	93.9	94	35%	+32.9
Market Momentum Score	97.1	97	25%	+24.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	29,534	89	40%	+35.4
Median household income (ACS)	106,667	85	40%	+34.0
Households (ACS)	8,326	82	20%	+16.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 94 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	300	99	35%	+34.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	2.7	98	25%	+24.5
Population (ACS)	29,534	89	20%	+17.7
Median household income (ACS)	106,667	85	20%	+17.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 97 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	100	96	50%	+48.0
10-year restaurant growth	300	99	30%	+29.8
20-year restaurant growth	300	97	20%	+19.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (17)

By cuisine

Mexican 6 · Bakery 3 · American 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Italian 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Bakery 3 · Quick service 3 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 Farmers Group Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		28490 US Highway 74	open
Annie's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	27666 US Highway 74	open
California Ranch Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	27526 CA-74	open
Cielomiel Macarons	Bakery	Bakery	29607 Olympic Drive	open
Famiglia Focaccia	Bakery	Bakery · Italian	29633 Olympic Dr	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		27256 Hwy 74	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	28830 McCall Blvd	open
KFC KFC	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	26660 Encanto Dr	open
La Michoacana Que Rico	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	28480 CA-74 Ste H	open
Los Jilbertos Taco Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	27511 McCall Blvd	open
Nutri-fruit	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	28480 US Highway 74 Ste H	open
Papa Smash	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	28490 CA-74	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	28036 Cannon Dr	open
Rancho El Eden - Asadero y Cantaritos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	25200 Antelope Rd	open
Santiago's Taco Shop #2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	27848 CA-74, (951) 928-4499	open
Sweet Stuff By Steph	Restaurant (service type not stated)		28382 Saddlecrest St	open
Wild Within Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	25485 Palomar Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	3	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	3	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	3	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	3	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	3	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	3	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	3	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	3	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	6	5	1	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	6	5	1	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	3	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	4	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	5	4	1	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	5	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	4	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	4	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	4	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	6	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	6	4	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	6	4	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	7	5	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	6	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	9	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	8	—	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	8	—	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 92585. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
92586	3.1 mi	18	2023
92548	3.7 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.