BMIE Market 20148
Loudoun County, Virginia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 64,021 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,759 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 20,839 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±785 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 28,310 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,170 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $233,494 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,950 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 38.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,690 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±171 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $873,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,493 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 19.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 58 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 20148 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 13.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +23.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +52.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +1,350.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +5,700.0% DERIVED: 2000 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 63 (range 56–69) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.6 per year, r² 0.75) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 92 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 99 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 88 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 85 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 20148. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.75, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Virginia and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 591, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 92 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 98.9 | 99 | 40% | +39.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 88.3 | 88 | 35% | +30.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 85.1 | 85 | 25% | +21.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 99 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 64,021 | 99 | 40% | +39.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 233,494 | 99 | 40% | +39.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 20,839 | 98 | 20% | +19.6 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 88 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 52.6 | 85 | 35% | +29.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 9.1 | 76 | 25% | +19.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 64,021 | 99 | 20% | +19.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 233,494 | 99 | 20% | +19.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 85 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 23.4 | 80 | 50% | +39.8 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 52.6 | 85 | 30% | +25.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 1,350 | 100 | 20% | +19.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (84)
By cuisine
Coffee 14 · American 10 · Asian 10 · Dessert 8 · Pizza 8 · Bakery 7 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Indian 5 · Italian 5 · Burgers 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Mexican 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Japanese 3 · Mediterranean 3 · Sushi 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Thai 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cuban 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vegetarian 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 52 · Café 11 · Dessert 11 · Bakery 9 · Bar 9 · Coffee shop 8 · Quick service 8 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Casual dining 5 · Delivery-focused 2 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addy’s Barbeque - Ashburn | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 43150 Broadlands Center Plaza #180 | open |
| Ahso Cellars | Bar | 22855 Brambleton Plaza #105 | open | |
| Ahso Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 22855 Brambleton Plaza | open |
| Another Broken Egg Cafe Another Broken Egg Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 23710 Schooler Plz | open |
| Ashburn Kabob | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 42882 Truro Parish Dr Ste 101 | open | |
| Asia Cafe | Café | Chinese · Coffee · Asian | 43150 Broadlands Center Plaza #106 | open |
| Asian Spice Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 42395 Ryan Rd Ste 126 | open |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 42876 Truro Parish Dr | open |
| Blend Coffee Bar | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 43170 Southern Walk Plz | open |
| Blue Ridge Grill Blue Ridge Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 22865 Brambleton Plaza | open |
| Bonefish Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 43135 Broadlands Center Plz Ste 137 | open |
| Broadlands Brickoven Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 42882 Truro Parish Dr | open |
| Bruster's Real Ice Cream Bruster's Real Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 43150 Broadlands Center Plaza | open |
| Bunny Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 22855 Brambleton Plaza Ste G-103 | open |
| Cafe Opera Café Opera | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Asian · Coffee | 42882 Truro Parish Dr Ste 104 | open |
| California Tortilla | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 42395 Ryan Rd | open |
| Charisa Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Thai | 43150 Broadlands Center Plz | open |
| Charminar Indian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 43150 Broadlands Center Plz #166 | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle | Quick service | 42385 Ryan Rd | open | |
| Clyde's Willow Creek Farm Clyde's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 42920 Broadlands Blvd | open |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 42385 Ryan Rd Spc 23 | open |
| Cubasi Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cuban | 22556 Amendola Ter Ste 150 | open |
| Del Barrio 3043 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 22172 Napier Ter | open | |
| Deliciously Keto Desserts | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 23275 Milltown Knoll Sq | open | |
| Department of Smoke | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Middle Eastern | 22916 Olympia Dr | open |
| Desi Point | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 22621 Amendola Ter | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 22556 Amendola Ter | open |
| Duck Donuts | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Dessert | 43150 Broadlands Center Plz, Ste 156 | open |
| EATaliano | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 43150 Broadlands Center Plaza | open |
| EATaliano | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 43150 Broadlands Center Plz Ste 178 | open |
| Glory Days Grill - Broadlands, VA | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 43170 Southern Walk Plz | open |
| Good Fortune Sushi Bar & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Sushi · Japanese | 42864 Truro Parish Dr | open |
| Green Ideas Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 43150 Broadlands Center Plz Ste 180 | open | |
| Hashtag India - Indian Eatery Hashtag Nuts | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 43150 Broadlands Center Plaza | open |
| Hunan Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 43300 Southern Walk Plz | open |
| Johnny Rockets | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 22855 Brambleton Plz | open |
| Johnny's Pizzeria & Restaurant | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Mediterranean | 43145 Broadlands Center Plz #119 | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings · Burgers · American | 22855 Brambleton Plaza, Suite !08 | open |
| Laredo Taco Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 22405 Flagstaff Plaza | open | |
| Los Toltecos Los Toltecos of Broadlands. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 43150 Broadlands Center Plaza Suite 194 | open |
| Lost Rhino Retreat | Casual dining · Bar | 22885 Brambleton Plz | open | |
| Maggie Moo's | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 43135 Broadlands Center Plz | open |
| Malgudi Veg | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 43150 Broadlands Center Plz Ste 166 | open |
| Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 43300 Southern Walk Plz | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 43210 Southern Walk Plz | open |
| Mezza Grill Mediterranean | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 43150 Broadlands Center Plz Ste 174 | open |
| Mian S&k Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 22855 Brambleton Plz Ste 100 | open | |
| Mindful Munch Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | EatLoco Farmers Market at Brambleton, 42395 Ryan Rd | open |
| MOLTN Cookies MOLTN Cookies | Bakery · Dessert · Delivery-focused | Bakery · Dessert | 43150 Broadlands Center Plaza Suite 178C | open |
| My Thai Place Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 42385 Ryan Rd | open |
| Neighbors Sports Bar & Grill | Bar | 42882 Truro Parish Dr Ste 105 | open | |
| Nick's Taverna | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Greek · European | 42395 Ryan Rd | open |
| Oro Sweets LLC | Bakery | Bakery | Westmoore Hoa, 22452 Foundation Dr | open |
| Paila's Party Cakes | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 21211 Elise Pl | open |
| Papa Tony's Trattoria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 22855 Brambleton Plz | open | |
| Parallel Party Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 43145 Broadlands Center Plz Ste 119 | open |
| Parallel Wine Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 43135 Broadlands Center Plz Ste 121 | open | |
| Paris Baguette | Coffee shop | Coffee | 23710 Schooler Plaza | open |
| Peet's Coffee Peet's Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 42385 Ryan Rd | open |
| Peri Peri Original Peri Peri Original | Quick service | Halal / kosher · Chicken / wings | 43135 Broadlands Center Plaza | open |
| Pholicious | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 43150 Broadlands Center Plaza #120 | open |
| Robeks Fresh Juices and Smoothies Robeks Fresh Juices & Smoothies | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 43145 Broadlands Center Plaza #117 | open |
| Rubino's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 43170 Southern Walk Plz | open |
| Rush Bowls Rush Bowls | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 22895 Brambleton Plaza Ste 100 | open |
| Saffron indian restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian | 43170 Southern Walk Plz | open |
| Samurai Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 43150 Broadlands Center Plaza Ste 162 | open |
| Scotto's Rigatoni Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 42395 Ryan Rd | open |
| Sipfit Health Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 42365 Soave Dr Ste 100 | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 43155 Broadlands Center Plaza | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 43300 Southern Walk Plz | open |
| Starbucks Greenway Crossing Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 22420 Flagstaff Plaza | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 43150 Broadlands Center Plz Ste 116 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 42385 Ryan Road Suite 102-B | open |
| Sugar Room | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 23447 Longollen Woods Ter | open |
| sweetFrog sweetFrog Premium Frozen Yogurt | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 22855 Brambleton Plaza Ste 106 | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 43230 Southern Walk Plaza | open |
| The All American Steakhouse and Sports Theater | Bar | Steakhouse · American | 43145 Broadlands Center Plaza #103 | open |
| The Phoenix Peak | Dessert | 43460 Loudoun Reserve Dr | open | |
| The Taco Shop & Bar | Bar | Mexican | 42882 Truro Parish Dr | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 23634 Strickland Dr | open |
| W Xyz Bar | Bar | 22390 Flagstaff Plz | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 43195 Broadlands Center Plaza | open |
| Y-Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 22621 Amendola Terrace Suite 185 | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Asian | 42415 Ryan Rd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 24 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 34 | 33 | 14 | 17 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 37 | 37 | 16 | 17 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 38 | 37 | 14 | 19 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 39 | 37 | 15 | 19 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 41 | 41 | 18 | 19 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 39 | 39 | 17 | 16 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 40 | 38 | 16 | 17 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 44 | 42 | 17 | 19 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 47 | 45 | 22 | 17 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 46 | 43 | 21 | 17 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 46 | 43 | 20 | 18 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 51 | 47 | 23 | 16 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 55 | 51 | 24 | 19 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 50 | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 49 | 46 | 21 | 15 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 61 | 57 | 25 | 21 | 11 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 62 | 58 | 22 | 23 | 13 | — | NAICS2022 |