BMIE Market 20876
Montgomery County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 26,406 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,906 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 8,783 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±432 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 25,496 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,738 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $119,731 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,256 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 36.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,109 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±83 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $487,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,697 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 10.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 39 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 20876 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 12.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +18.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +14.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +56.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +225.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 35 (range 30–40) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 20876. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 87.2 | 87 | 40% | +34.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 69.1 | 69 | 35% | +24.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 69.3 | 69 | 25% | +17.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 26,406 | 86 | 40% | +34.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 119,731 | 90 | 40% | +36.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 8,783 | 83 | 20% | +16.6 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 14.7 | 58 | 35% | +20.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 14.8 | 54 | 25% | +13.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 26,406 | 86 | 20% | +17.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 119,731 | 90 | 20% | +18.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 18.2 | 76 | 50% | +38.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 14.7 | 58 | 30% | +17.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 56 | 69 | 20% | +13.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (78)
By cuisine
Mexican 9 · American 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Coffee 7 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 5 · Pizza 5 · Asian 4 · Burgers 4 · Italian 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Caribbean 2 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Indian 2 · Japanese 2 · Noodles / ramen / pho 2 · Seafood 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Korean 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Peruvian 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 47 · Quick service 16 · Bar 9 · Bakery 6 · Café 5 · Casual dining 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 5 · Food truck 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Buffet 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abi Azteca Germantown | Casual dining · Bar | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 11514 Middlebrook Road | open |
| Agrodolce | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 21030 Frederick Rd Ste J | open |
| Anna's Deli Plus | Bar | 11512 Middlebrook Rd | open | |
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 21048 Frederick Rd | open |
| Beer on Tapz | Bar | 19520 Waters Rd unit 2 | open | |
| BGR - The Burger Joint | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 20940 Frederick Rd Ste B | open |
| Bob Evans Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 21044 Frederick Rd | open |
| Bollino's Italian Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 19741 Frederick Rd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 20430 Germantown Rd | open |
| Cafe Rio Cafe Rio Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 20680 Seneca Meadows Pkwy | open |
| Cameron's Seafood | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Seafood · Coffee | 20220 Frederick Rd | open |
| Carnitas Don Javier | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 19815 Frederick Rd | open |
| Caspian Kabob | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 19911 Frederick Rd C | open |
| Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Cheesesteaks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · American | 19701 Frederick Rd | open |
| Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Cheesesteaks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · American | 20910 Frederick Rd | open |
| Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks | Quick service | Sandwiches | 19701 Frederick Rd | open |
| Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks | Quick service | Sandwiches | 20910 Frederick Rd | open |
| Charminar Indian Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · British / Irish pub food | 11524 Middlebrook Rd | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 20940 Frederick Rd Ste A | open |
| Crumbl - Germantown | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 20650 Seneca Meadows Pkwy Unit C1 | open |
| Da Marco: The Italian Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 20630 Seneca Meadows Pkwy | open |
| Doc Waters Cidery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 22529 Wildcat Rd | open | |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 21040 E Frederick Road | open |
| Don Pollo of Germantown Don Pollo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Peruvian | 21040 Frederick Rd | open |
| Dumpling District | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 19775 FREDERICK RD, GERMANTOWN, MD 20876 | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 19781 Frederick Rd | open |
| El Chilango Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 19560 Frederick Rd | open |
| Famous Dave's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 20660 Seneca Meadows Pkwy | open |
| Harry's Trikes & Turtles Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | 21520 Blunt Rd | open | |
| India Palace Bar and Tandoor | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Indian | 19743 Frederick Rd | open |
| Java Cafe | Buffet | 12410 Milestone Center Dr | open | |
| Jerk-It-Baby Foods Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · American | 11606 Middlebrook Road | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 21040 Frederick Rd | open |
| Kaelo Events and Cakes | Bakery · Dessert · Catering | Bakery · Dessert | 11413 Ledbury Way | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 19650 Gunners Branch Road | open |
| KPOT Korean BBQ & Hot Pot KPOT Korean BBQ & Hot Pot-Orlando,FL | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Korean · Asian | 19727 Frederick Rd | open |
| Kung Fu Tea Kung Fu Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies | 19717 Frederick Rd | open |
| La Gula Mexicana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 21030 Frederick Rd Ste j | open |
| La Tagliatella Germantown | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 20630 Seneca Meadows Pkwy | open |
| Mama Amola | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | Mexican | 11606 Middlebrook Rd | open |
| Mangino's pizza Germantown - | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 20510 Frederick Rd | open |
| Margarita Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Mexican | 19201 Frederick Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 21121 Frederick Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 19660 Gunners Branch Rd | open |
| McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 20910 Frederick Rd | open | |
| Mmmm Mmm | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 19213 Fox Chapel Dr | open | |
| Noodles and Company Noodles & Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho · American | 20952 Frederick Rd | open |
| Nothing Bundt Cakes | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 20650 Seneca Meadows Pkwy Ste C2 | open | |
| Old Shanghai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 21040 Frederick Rd | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 20680 Seneca Meadows Parkway | open |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 11522 middlebrook rd | open |
| Paris Baguette | Coffee shop | Coffee | 21040 Frederick Rd Ste G | open |
| Pat's TFR Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 21520 Blunt Rd | open | |
| Pho 81 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 19735 Frederick Rd | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 19733 Frederick Rd | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 20908 Frederick Rd Montgomery | open |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 19911 Frederick Rd | open |
| Potbelly Sandwich Shop Potbelly Sandwich Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 20940 Frederick Rd | open |
| Sakura Japanese Steak House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Steakhouse · Seafood | 11502 Middlebrook Rd | open |
| Scoops | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 23000 Davis Mill Rd | open |
| Siriwan Thai 4 Sectors | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 20640 Seneca Meadows Pkwy #D-1 | open |
| Smoothie King Smoothie King | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 20630 Seneca Meadows Pkwy | open |
| Springfield Manor Winery & Distllry | Winery / distillery / taproom | 11808 Morning Star Dr | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 20900 Frederick Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 20934 Frederick Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 19911 B Frederick Road | open |
| sweetFrog sweetFrog Premium Frozen Yogurt | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 20940 Frederick Rd | open |
| Tacos El Pariente | Food truck | Mexican | 20220 Frederick Rd | open |
| Tacos El Rey Food Truck | Food truck | 20910 Frederick Rd | open | |
| The Caribbean Flavor | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 11524 Middlebrook Road | open |
| The Satellite Café at Hughes | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 11717 Exploration Ln | open |
| V6 transportes | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 25 Observation Ct | open | |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 20910 Frederick Rd | open |
| Waters Orchard | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 22711 Wildcat Rd | open | |
| Wendy’s | Quick service | 19775 Frederick Rd | open | |
| Yuraku | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 19773 Frederick Rd | open |
| Bonchon Germantown | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 19775 Frederick Rd | closed |
| Honey Pig Korean Bbq | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean | 19727 Frederick Rd # 1337 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 12 | 12 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 12 | 12 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 16 | 16 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 15 | 15 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 15 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 19 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 20 | 18 | 7 | 11 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 22 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 23 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 29 | 25 | 10 | 14 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 30 | 26 | 12 | 13 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 33 | 30 | 12 | 17 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 33 | 30 | 13 | 16 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 37 | 32 | 14 | 17 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 35 | 31 | 12 | 18 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 34 | 31 | 13 | 17 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 35 | 31 | 10 | 20 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 35 | 31 | 12 | 18 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 35 | 30 | 12 | 17 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 38 | 34 | 14 | 18 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 39 | 33 | 13 | 19 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 40 | 35 | 12 | 21 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 43 | 37 | 13 | 21 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 43 | 34 | 11 | 21 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 41 | 33 | 11 | 20 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 41 | 33 | 9 | 22 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 34 | 30 | 9 | 19 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 39 | 33 | 8 | 23 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 39 | 34 | 7 | 25 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 44 | 39 | 10 | 27 | — | — | NAICS2022 |