BMIE Market 20882

Montgomery County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,751 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±996 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,693 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±311 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,063 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,654 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$184,136 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,841 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,578 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±572 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$737,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±36,274 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	37.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 20882
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+80.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+125.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+350.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 9–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.63) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	87 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	85 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 20882. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.63, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	84.2	84	40%	+33.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	87.4	87	35%	+30.6
Market Momentum Score	85.4	85	25%	+21.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,751	75	40%	+30.1
Median household income (ACS)	184,136	98	40%	+39.4
Households (ACS)	4,693	73	20%	+14.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	80	89	35%	+31.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.5	86	25%	+21.5
Population (ACS)	13,751	75	20%	+15.1
Median household income (ACS)	184,136	98	20%	+19.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	28.6	83	50%	+41.3
10-year restaurant growth	80	89	30%	+26.7
20-year restaurant growth	125	87	20%	+17.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (24)

By cuisine

Coffee 4 · Dessert 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Italian 1 · Pizza 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Dessert 6 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Café 3 · Bar 2 · Bakery 1 · Buffet 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Quick service 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Beer Trade Co. Cafe & Beer Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6860 Olney Laytonsville Rd	open
Elder Pine Brewing & Blending Co	Brewery / taproom · Bar		4200 Sundown Rd	open
griffoncafe	Café	Coffee	القيمرية	open
Hero Dogs on Waredaca Brewery	Brewery / taproom		4019 Damascus Rd	open
Julliano's Brick Oven Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6850 Olney Laytonsville Rd	open
M&F ProKitchen - تجهيز مطاعم ومطابخ	Restaurant (service type not stated)		سوريا	open
Moka plus	Dessert		دمشق - مشروع دمر	open
Morning fix	Quick service		mazzeh mall	open
Panda icecream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	damascus	open
restaurant alswes\n-مطعم السويس	Restaurant (service type not stated)		التضامن مقابل مدرسة سعد الجابري \n	open
Sweets bakery	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	دمشق مشروع دمر الجزيرة 10	open
The Family Room	Coffee shop · Dessert	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts	6820 Olney Laytonsville Rd	open
The Office Cafe & Lounge	Café	Coffee	6860 Olney Laytonsville Rd	open
Top Meat	Restaurant (service type not stated)		ضاحية قدسيا	open
Two Story Chimney Ciderworks	Winery / distillery / taproom · Brewery / taproom		7115 Damascus Rd	open
Waredaca Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		4017 Damascus Rd	open
Weezy.cafe	Café	Coffee	Syria	open
سرايا الرواق Saraya Al Riwaq	Dessert	Dessert	سوريا	open
سكر وسط Semi Sweet	Buffet		ساحة زملكا	open
شركة ضحى للمنتجات الغذائية	Dessert	Dessert	airport highway	open
شيخ المندي	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	سوريا قدسيا طلعة العمري	open
مأكولات بيت الباشا	Restaurant (service type not stated)		باب شرقي جانب كنيسة السريان	open
مطعم الجناني دايموند	Restaurant (service type not stated)		دمشق_ساحة القصور	open
مندي تنورين	Restaurant (service type not stated)		معضمية الشام - اوتستراد الأربعين - مقابل دجاجتي	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	4	2	—	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	5	4	3	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	8	3	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	7	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	7	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	6	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	8	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	8	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	9	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	9	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	8	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	7	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	9	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 20882. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
20886	3.6 mi	18	2023
20876	4.1 mi	39	2023
20879	4.2 mi	58	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.